This blog contains posts and comments written by students in Dr. Tufte's economics classes at Southern Utah University.
10/31/2004
"The oil-rich keep on getting richer"
10/30/2004
Kerry and Bush Tax Difference
www.msnbc.msn.com/id/6336867
10/29/2004
Utah Power
The main difference in this new procedure on trial, is that the rates will be based entirely on projected costs that the utility expects to incur in the 12 months after the new rates go into effect. Utah Power believes using a so-called "future test year" to determine rates, instead of basing them on historical costs, the traditional method used by the PSC, will be more fair to the company as well as its customers. They say that these projected costs will eliminate the problem of "regulatory lag;" which is when a utility spends money on behalf of its customers but must wait for the PSC to approve those costs.
My question, along with everybody elses', is "Are these projected costs reasonable?" I thought that historical costs were used to determine projections. So what is making the difference here, and why are our electricity bills going up almost $5 a month? That's sixty bucks a year!
Southern Utah Wilderness and Our Economy
The primary economic activities that would be restricted by wilderness classification is commercial extraction of timber and minerals. In southern Utah, it is primarily mineral extraction that would be restricted. In addition, there are fears that grazing would be restricted. the assumed negative impact of wilderness designation is tied to the "locking up" of those minerals and forage. When mining and grazing are analyzed in the context of the overall Utah economy, this is seen to be a seriously exaggerated claim. The transformation of the Utah economy from heavy reliance upon extractive natural resource use is well underway and it will continue. The Utah Office of Planning and Budget projects that employment in agriculture and mineral extraction will continue to shrink as a percentage of the total Utah workforce over the next twenty years despite an optimistic projected "mini-boom" in the mineral extraction industries.
Protected landscapes have economic impacts far beyond their borders because they provide the high quality environmental backdrop that makes an area an attractive place to live, work, and do business. In that sense, the protected landscapes become an important part of an area's economic base and economic vitality. This is the reason that wilderness counties tend to show such dramatic economic vitality.
Wilderness protection does not impoverish communities by locking up resources. Rather, it protects the economic future of those communities by preserving high quality natural environments that are in increasing demand across the nation.
Delta Takes One Step Away From Bankruptcy
It looks that just yesterday Delta took a great step away from bankruptcy as it appears the pilots have come to an agreement with management allowing for $1 billion in concessions. While this is good news, it only skims the top of the lake of debt that Delta has incurred. Of course, Salt Lake's economy will likely benefit from the closing of Delta's Dallas hub which will expand operations in Salt Lake.
Are Consumer Cost of Goods About to Rise?
Many people in our society do not realize what it takes to get these items into our homes and often times we take that luxury for granted. Drivers are not fortunate enough to enjoy a quality of life that most of us have come to demand. True, they ultimately must make a choice as to whether or not they want to continue doing what they do, but the answers that will rectify this situation will not just be to simply ignore their needs and demands. With supply growing at 1% and demand for new drivers growing at 3% annually, something needs to be done soon in order to remedy this situation. If we were all faced with the choice of not getting goods in a timely fashion or paying drivers what they deserve, it would be an easy choice for many when consumer goods suddenly aren't on the shelves in our favorite department stores.
Mid-size Sedans or Tanks?
The article reports on an IIHS side impact crash test results study. This study smashed different mid-sized sedans with a simulated SUV force on the driver's side of the car. Most of the cars tested didn't receive very good marks, implying that today's cars are not safe enough. Studies like this can really hurt the image that a car company may be trying to portay. The only way the company can keep its image is to spend more money trying to make its car more safe. Should we really have these types of programs that show us how unsafe our cars are? In my opinion we shouldn't.
The entire notion of trying to make cars safer reminds me about the "seat belts cause more accidents" scenario. If we make our cars more and more safer, we will begin to drive more and more unsafely. Where does it all stop? Before you know it the only way to get to work safely will be to drive a tank there.
10/28/2004
The Right Price
Last week a pair of these delicious blades (in my size no less) were auctioned off on e-bay for around $150 !!! That is a price I would be willing to pay. What if everything were auctioned off, would more sales/profit be made? If the price these blades fetch on e-bay is this low maybe manufacturers will have to lower their prices? These dream blades are actually made out of the same materials as cheaper blades but they are in high demand because they are worn by skating stars. Maybe they will go out of style and then I can get some.
Demand really does push the prices up on goods :(
What's New in the Market 10/28/2004
http://biz.yahoo.com/cbsm-top/
Fed Reports Continuing Economic Growth
At this point in time Analysts are speculating a raise in interest rate. The central bank will likely push up rates for a fourth time this year to guard against inflation pressures. The fed argues that the economy should grow at a decent pace even if there are some potholes along the way.
The fed also has speculated that the rise in oil prices have somewhat stymied the progress of the economy. However, the fed did not signal concern that this year’s oil price surge will be catastrophic enough to send the economy into a recession as it did in the 1970s and 1980s.
Other news regarding commerce and home sales were optimistic. Big ticket sales items in commerce were up a couple points, as were home sales. Some 2.7 million jobs that were lost in the manufacturing sector since 2000 have shown signs of rebound. On a final note farmers in most parts of the country were having a good year.
http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/041027/economy_12.html
Suddenly, satellite radio matters
Howard Stern has a cult following of listeners from coast to coast, from his late night TV show to his syndicated radio show that was broadcast in most major metropolitan areas. Satellite Radio provides a FCC-less format where Stern can be as vulgar as he wants to be. The price that Sirius paid to acquire Stern was far less than the price that XM paid to acquire rights to Major League Baseball, and therefore Sirius will have a much easier time recouping its investment in Stern as opposed to XM's investment in MLB.
I believe that Sirius' move in acquiring Stern will turn out to be the most profitable move of the two companies, because of the fact the Stern holds so much power in the radio world, and Sirius has gained absolute control over where Stern is broadcast. Therefore there is a greater incentive for potential customers to go to Sirius for Stern as opposed to XM for Major League Baseball. Major league baseball is broadcast on network TV and several cable stations, and by observation one might easily conclude that most people would rather watch a baseball game on cable.
10/27/2004
Complete Protection
Recently the Europeon Union has formally challenged the policy in the WTO. The Europeon Commission stated, "The EU does not dispute Australia's right to set an appropriate level of protection. The EU does however consider that Australia should not unfairly protect its own market and producers by imposing quarantine rules which block imports without scientific justification, often for many years."
Although the amount of trade lost due to the quarantine is hard to quantify. However, the commission showed the EU exports of fresh vegetables in Australia were 8,000 tons compared to the 35,000 tons exported to Canada (a comparable market).
I don't think that having any economic policy enforced "whatever the cost" is ever a good idea. There has to be some cut-off point where it is realized that the benefits of a policy are for overshadowed by the costs. I think this is the case with Australia's quarantine. Some sort of change needs to take place in order to relax the strict policy and increase imports.
U.S Confidence is dealt another blow
www.msnbc.com/id/6335941
Stocks surge as crude price drops
With oil prices going up, complimentary goods such as automobiles should go down. With many american owning larger vehichles such as trucks, and suvs, one might think that resale values will start to decline as the price of owning one increases greatly. Since the begining of this year, oil prices have increased over sixty percent to over fifty two dollars a barrell. This is a tremendouse increase in price in a reletivly short period of time.
Now, oil is an less elastic good then say orange juice, and the price hasn't decreased oil demand substantially; however, if the rate of oil price hikes continue consumers are going to see lower resale value amongst their automobiles and wealth in general.
Price hiking that has been encountered this year with oil prices is suspiciouse. Prices are increasing at an alarming rate with no decrease in supply. The hike in price without a justified cut in supply is rather perplexing. Why would the government allow an increase in prices without the justified reduced supply?
Perhaps the vast oil fields world wide are being used up an alarming rate, causing government officials to raise rates to a point where demand falls. If this is the case, how much oil is really left? How long before the oil supply is exhausted? How much will my car or truck be worth in a month from now?
www.msnbc.msn.com/id/3683270/
Hummer Light
GM is trying to increase the demand curve of the Hummer. They are doing this by using price as a tool to increase demand. The H3 is more affordable both directly (cost of vehicle) and indirectly (cost of gas) and more people with different income levels can afford it; thus shifting demand.
Privatize Social Security Before it’s to Late.
Mini-size Hummer
Are midsize SUV's what people want? Or does it just give more people a chance to say they drive a Hummer? The new Hummer is 17 inches shorter than the H2 and 6.5 inches narrower. It still will be able to drive through 16 inches of water at 20 miles per hour and can climb a 40 degree incline. It's a mini-Hummer. This will allow more people to have the car of their dreams for a cheaper price.
New Cars With New Presidency
President Bush wants to increase the tax credit from purchasing a hybrid, $1,500 up to $4,000. He and Congress have also approved $300 million for the research of hydrogen fell cell cars. With the prices increasing for oil, we need to do something with the cars that we drive. Kerry also wants to raise the mile per gallon on economy cars from 24 to 36 within the next 10 years. The problem is the auto industry and the workers don't like it. So, Kerry will probably raise the tax credit up to $5,000 for the purchase of hybrid cars.
I believe that something has to be done about the rising prices we are seeing from oil. I don't believe the government should get involved with the gas prices or hybrid cars. If the market wants hybrid cars then the people will get the cars.
New Cars With New Presidentcy
President Bush wants to increase the tax credit from purchasing a hybrid, $1,500 up to $4,000. He and Congress have also approved $300 million for the research of hydrogen fell cell cars. With the prices increasing for oil, we need to do something with the cars that we drive. Kerry also wants to raise the mile per gallon on economy cars from 24 to 36 within the next 10 years. The problem is the auto industry and the workers don't like it. So, Kerry will probably raise the tax credit up to $5,000 for the purchase of hybrid cars.
I believe that something has to be done about the rising prices we are seeing from oil. I don't believe the government should get involved with the gas prices or hybrid cars. If the market wants hybrid cars then the people will get the cars.
Diesels & Hybrids combine
Diesel engines could be improved by up to 10 miles per gallon. Nothing has been set in stone for producing hybrid-diesel vehicles. School buses and large utility vehicles will be first to test out the hybrid-diesel technology.
Money is always an issue. By buying a hybrid-diesel vehicle one may save hundreds of dollars on gas. But, will these cars be cheaper? No. These hybrid-diesel cars will cost a couple thousand more than a regular diesel or gasoline engine car. Metropolitan areas can benefit because the air will be of better quality. Are people willing to spend thousands more on a car in order to help clean the air? Will these cars just be out on the market with few buyers? Are these cars a step towards a new car of the future?
Durable Goods Rise Slightly
This rise in demand could be a sign that the economy is improving as more people have an increase in income which allows them to buy more instead of postponing purchases and maintaing their existing units.
However, the demand for such things has been see-sawing over the last year. June and July posted a rise after a big decrease in April and May. We'll have to see if the rise will continue. Surely the Presidential candidates are paying close attention to this.
Where the Real Power of the Country Lies.
Let’s make sure the right appointments happen by electing the right man for the job. These appointments to the high court will have more long run influence than any bills that are passed by either of the other branches of government.
10/26/2004
Airfares, Pay Less For More
I also noticed that a flight to Moscow is not much more expensive than a flight to North Carolina. So you might as well go on a really cool vacation to Europe instead of visiting your family for Christmas since you can fly a lot farther for hardly anymore cash.
I also noticed that airfares are still around what they used to be about 10 years ag0. If you haven't looked lately check it out.
Life looks down on the elderly
What are the cold elderly to do? Sit in there cold homes and freeze, I don't think so. Maybe we just hope for an abnormally warm winter, or is there something the government can do to help pay for the rising prices of oil and heat?
Life looks down on the elderly
What are the cold elderly to do? Sit in there cold homes and freeze, I don't think so. Maybe we just hope for an abnormally warm winter, or is there something the government can do to help pay for the rising prices of oil and heat?
Life looks down on the elderly
What are the cold elderly to do? Sit in there cold homes and freeze, I don't think so. Maybe we just hope for an abnormally warm winter, or is there something the government can do to help pay for the rising prices of oil and heat?
Life looks down on the elderly
What are the cold elderly to do? Sit in there cold homes and freeze, I don't think so. Maybe we just hope for an abnormally warm winter, or is there something the government can do to help pay for the rising prices of oil and heat?
10/25/2004
"Carbon Copy Christmas"
Also, people do not want to shop for themselves because they cannot afford to. Consumers feel that if gas prices were lower they would be able to spend more for Christmas. Gas prices are up 30% from where they were last year at this time. An estimated $7 less per week will be spent over this holiday season.
Lower-income consumers will be affected most by the price of gas. "High-end shoppers" are less affected. Luxury items will still be bought. A senior retail analyst at Bernard Sands', Richard Hastings, feels that "consumer spending will see more of a marginal change rather than a substantial change."
Will gas prices really affect Christmas shopping? I don't think so. Christmas shopping always becomes a concern and people use gas prices this holiday season for their way out.
10/24/2004
Are athletes at risk?
Just last week, my teammates and I were to get flu shots here at SUU. Is it fair to give flu shots to athletes just because they are athletes when there is a shortage? Aren't athletes labeled as healthy? Why should athletes be getting flu shots when pregnant women, the elderly, and other people need them more?
I had teammates complain because they had to get a shot. This one shot they had could have been given to another person and in turn save their life. Instead my teammate complains because her shoulder hurts where they poked her. Is this right? Should we really be giving flu shots to athletes who complain about them instead of giving them to someone who needs it?
10/22/2004
Equal pay for women? Not till 2050
Although this issue is one that is highly controversial, there are issues that I believe are not being fairly considered (especially by those that are crying foul the loudest). One major reason that women receive less pay over a lifetime is quite obvious; woman are different from men -- women have children. Women spend less time in the workplace, thus earning less in a lifetime. Traditionally, although the trend is being shunned, women leave the work place to rear their children. This role, although offensive to women's liberation organizations, is one that shouldn't be shoved aside. As women have left the rearing of children to day care facilities in order to take on full time careers, juvenile delinquency has skyrocketed, and America's rising generations have fallen far behind the rest of the world.
Unfortunately there are instances that woman may receive less pay than men because of simple discrimination. These occasions are deplorable. However, I believe that they are less often than women's liberation organizations would like to admit.
This article was found on CNN.com.
More flu vaccine spray on the way.
The demand for these doses is highly inelastic, and the supply is limited to what is produced between flu seasons. The conditions caused by the cancellation of 46 million flu vaccine doses could have been catastrophic to average middle class Americans - if there weren't government regulations and oversight in the matter of healthcare. This a strong example of government regulations being of great benefit to the general welfare of the American public.
Hooters goes to China
Other chains that are located in the area include KFC, TGI-Fridays, and of course McDonald's.
10/21/2004
Look out Seniors!!!!
This is another witness that something should be done about retirement. Two things will help.
1-Social Security reform: Social Security isn't going to last especially if things don't change.
2-Education about retirement planning: Letting people know how they can plan for retirement will help them avoid these problems. Unfortunately it is too late for a lot of people. Our generation hopefully realizes that they will most likely provide for their own retirement.
10/20/2004
Chrysler recalls Mini-vans
An ethical dilemma like this will occur to probably all of us. It seems like more and more, companies are willing to recall vehicle with defects probably because of past settlements and litigation costs. In the past it may have been less expensive for a company to pay the law-suits, but the way things are changing, the cost of settling suits trumps the cost of fixing errors.
Overall, it seems like a good thing because it influences companies to act ethically in order to not only minimize costs but also increase revenues by pleasing consumers.
10/16/2004
Indian Outsourcing See's end to U.S. Rhetoric
John Kerry is remiss in his belief that simple tax law will keep large American companies from following the lure of low cost labor in Asia. The article cited the fact that many times better educated English-speaking Indians are paid a fifth of the pay that often time less productive American workers are paid for doing the same job. The demand for highly productive, cheap labor is definately high. Countries like India and China with a combined population almost 6 times that of the United States, are providing a seemingly unending supply to meet demand. American labor unions, and blue collar workers had better beware -- If you don't produce results, there are plenty of people that can.
10/15/2004
Funding Utah's Schools
A recent study shows that Western states fall behind Eastern states in education spending. In the East, per student spending is more than double what it is in the West.
US Representatives Chris Cannon and Rob Bishop argue that the decline in per-pupil spending is directly related to untaxed federal lands. They propose to tax the Federal Government's vast landholdings across 12 Western states which include: Oregon, Washington, Idaho, Utah, Montana, Wyoming, Colorado, Nevada, California, Alaska, Arizona and New Mexico. The quantity of land that is Federally owned for National Parks, national Monuments, National Forests, National Wildlife Refuges, and BLM lands in these states range from 29 to 81 percent of the state's land. No Eastern state has more than 14 percent of its lands federally owned.
These national Parks, national Monuments etc. have been designated for the enjoyment of all people. I believe those same people should be responsible for their proportionate share of the property taxes to fund the schools.
The New Russia
The change has not affected all areas of Russia, though. It's mostly just the major cities like Moscow or St. Petersburg. 20 miles outside of Moscow many people are still living without many main commodities: running water, electricity, gas, etc.
The growth is not free of concern, though. Russia's agricultural and industrial sectors are both in bad shape. A link off of the previously mentioned article states that Russia's economy doesn't grow unless the price of oil is rising. Many people are questioning what strengths Russia has outside of it's natural resources.
What about outsourcing?
Presidential Candidates Avoiding the Deficit
Senator Kerry wants to increase taxes on the wealthiest 2 percent of Americans and offer new tax credits to help students pay for college. While this may sound good he would like to implement new programs such as health insurance coverage for lower income Americans and a trust fund to improve public education. These programs would add $1.27 trillion in additional cumulative deficit spending which is on top of the $2.29 trillion that is currently already being spent. Bush on the other hand has proposed programs but his main focus is tax cuts. But Bush's idea would add $1.33 trillion in deficits.
Both wanted to cut the deficit in half but with the way they want to run things it doesn't look like they will be doing that any time soon.
Steel tarrif lifted
My question is: What about competitive advantage? In Principles we learned that everyone benefits when we each produce what we're good at. We would all get more of everything. High steel prices are reflected in the price of many consumer goods: cars, buildings, etc... Electrolux vacuums has even announced a change in this year's projections because of rising steel prices. Something as small as a screw at the hardware store will go up.
If the price of consumer goods is held at a lower level, doesn't everyone benefit?
10/14/2004
Will the Cowboys be moving?
Supporters say that it would give a huge boost to the struggling economy by making Arlington a year round destination. The team's campaign is ramping up as the date grows closer. Commercial ads of players planting flowers in city parks and paving roads to give the idea that the team will benefit the area.
It seems that the minimal increase in sales tax will be far outweighed by the benefits of the new stadium. Surely the economy will pick up and property value will probably increase substantially. Looking at the situation solely on economic benefits, the stadium seems like a great idea. However, if you aren't a sports fan or one of those who doesn't encourage change or growth, the stadium could have a very big downside.
martha & prison
http://money.cnn.com/2004/10/14/news/newsmakers/martha_book/index.htm
Poverty Crisis in America?
The article reports that these poor Americans barely have enough money to cover basic needs like housing, groceries and child care. I wonder if these people have television sets, DVD players, and cable…
Where is that poverty line at these days? “A family of four with two children was considered impoverished if its income was less than $18,244 in 2002.” This particular study looked at families with kids that earned no more than twice the poverty level. These people are considered “low-income”, or poor. That is, they have to be making less than $36,488 a year. “The median U.S. income for such families is $62,732.”
Those numbers provide the outcome of “39 Million Americans in Working Poor Families.” In order to rise above “low-income” standards, a person must earn at least $8.84 an hour. Consider our minimum wage at $5.15 an hour.
Suggestions have been made to raise the minimum wage, improve educational opportunities, and make an expansion of the federal earned income tax credit.
This is surely a controversial issue, and one that cannot be resolved by blogging, but there are other things that weren’t mentioned in the article that came to mind.
If the minimum wage increases, the already rising problem of outsourcing will surely mount to outstanding numbers. Also, I’m not sure what families require to get by, but I have a feeling that $36K a year is pretty decent in comparison to actual “poor” people throughout the world. In fact, those folks might appreciate our outsourcing crisis!
10/13/2004
Oil Technology
The new technology allows for easier finding of oil. It no longer takes days or weeks to guess about where the oil company may find oil. It is all right there projected on a big IMAX screen. What does this do for the market? It is allowing quicker and more accurate setup time per well. Before, guessing was the best means of where oil was. If that guess isn't correct, that is $40 million wasted on a well that has no purpose.
In the short-run it is good to find the oil and be able to extract it. What is wrong with this. Some people think that the oil supply will run out sooner this way. But, changing the way oil is found does not increase or decrease the amount demanded.
I think it is a great way to save costs, and lower the price of oil.
Getting the OK on Stem Cell Research
I believe that Harvard should be allowed to uses those cells for disease research. It has the potential of treating many diseases; this alone should be a good reason. Also many countries have already started their research. In the micros, people would have the ability to be treated for diseases; therefore, live a longer and healthier life.
McDonald's raises earnings outlooks
This earnings report would suggest that the demand for fast food is inelastic. During hrricanes people are still demanding Big Mac's. After last years release of the documentary "Super Size Me," one might even suspect that the demand for Big Mac's is the same as that of illicit drugs. "Super Size Me" portrayed a vegetarian man who by experiment decided to eat nothing but McDonald's for a month. The man exhibited classic signs of withdrawal due to chemical dependance when he hadn't eaten anything for a while. The man's health deteriorated to near dangerous levels. This didn't even make a serious dent in the fast food Goliath. Instead of cocaine, America is crying for a Big Mac and fries.
www.msnbc.com
10/12/2004
New iPod
Competitors are trying to catch up to Apple by introducing similar products, some even offer other features such as fm tuners. Noticeably, many of the competitors' prices for similar devices with the same memory or even more, are cheaper than the iPod. Yet, looking at sales, more than 4 million have been sold since its introduction. In the past quarter iPod sales accounted for 12.4 percent of Apple's overall revenue. It doesn't look like things will be slowing down, even if the rumor of the new iPod is just a rumor.
It would appear that the demand for the iPod is inelastic when it comes to cross-price elasticity. It would be interesting to survey if and why consumers prefer the iPod to other similar products. Maybe it is the brand-name that people trust or maybe it is the quality. A regression test could indicate if there is or isn't a relationship between the quantity of iPods sold and the price of competing products.
Is the Flu Vaccine Outdated?
Another problem is how they manufacture the flu vaccine that they will use in the United States. They use a 30 year old system of using chicken eggs to yield a seed vaccine. Then after many months they can make it into a shot. Drug companies and many researchers believe they can update the system with using reverse genetics and then incubating the virus in humans and monkey cells. This will be more effective than eggs. I believe this is important because the flu virus kills an average of 36,000 American and hospitalizes another 114,000 per year.
10/11/2004
A Substitute Product for Online Dates
Is Starbucks Elastic or Inelastic?
I believe Starbucks will do financial fine with this price increase. Coffee is an inelastic good. On the other hand, Starbucks coffee is more expensive than their competitors. But Starbucks sells more than coffee, it is a coffee experience. Starbucks also puts in more caffeine per drink than other companies. This helps with an advantage to keep customers at Starbucks. This is what management is betting on.
Hazardous Drivers
These car companies are conducting studies that mimic the effects of aging, such as stiff joints and poor eyesight, to improve their vehicles for the older generation. They are also designing voice recognition systems to monitor the cars various controls, crash proof sensing systems, downloadable improvements and other digital systems.
All of these studies could greatly improve the safety for the baby boomers. And baby boomers aren’t the only ones that will buy these technologically advance vehicles. Will these advancements be as effective, or rather ineffective, as the seatbelt law? Will technological improvements lead to people feeling safer which in turn lead to more hazardous driving?
10/10/2004
Hurray for Honda
The microeconomic implication of this recent development is that with hybrid sales taking off, American's are now being seen responding to surges in oil prices. Also, Honda found an incentive in continuing to develop and release models that would further its plans to provide an adequate return on its investment while at the same time further protecting the environment. Consumers are responding to incentives in that the new hybrid vehicles get better gas mileage which means less money at the pump.
10/09/2004
Factors Affecting Markets
Major indexes in the stock market fell this week. Despite 90000 plus jobs created this month, stocks had a hard time keeping up with analyst expectations. Experts contribute the bearish week in the market on a combination of record high closing prices for oil, job growth falling about 60000 jobs short of estimates, and a slip in consumer confidence. Like a regression analysis: log stock market= b0 +b1log oil price+ b2 (estimated job growth – actual job growth) + b3 log consumer confidence + u, experts suggest these three variables are greatly responsible for the lack of performance this week.
The anticipation for a growing market may back fire causing large sell offs if anticipated oil prices and job rates don’t reach their suggested levels.
source: http//www.msnbc.msn.com/id/3686270/
10/08/2004
U.S. payrolls grew modestly in Sept.
source: http//www.msnbc.msn.com/id/6205119
10/06/2004
Emerging From Bankruptcy
I found this article pretty interesting because it relates to a blog that I did earlier in the semester. My blog was about Aron Ralston, the man that cut off his arm that was trapped by a rock to save his life. Aron found that it was more important to live without an arm than to die ensnared by a large boulder. United Airlines is much like Aron in the fact that they were going no where but down. So in an effort to save their life (business) they had to start cutting costs somewhere. United chose to cut the size of their fleet and to reduce their U.S. flights. Was this a good decision? Well, if the benefits outweigh the costs I believe that it was.
Beef up, Beer down
To relate this scenario to what we've been talking about in class, it would appear that beef and beer are substitute goods in a sense. More specifically, low-carb foods and high-carb foods are reacting oppositely to a change in the publics' preferences. As the demand for low-carb foods goes up, naturally the demand for high-carb foods such as beer goes down.
It would be interesting to research prices and see how they have been affected over the past two years or so. It is interesting how certain things can become trends and then have an affect on something we might not consider to be related. Of course, now beer companies are developing low-carb versions so that they can adjust to tastes and preferences.
Economy Back On Track
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/6185707/
Oil extends record run to $51.48 per barrel
Supply had been disrupted by natural disasters. The Hurricane season of 2004 caused supply to drop by half the daily number of barrels pumped by Indonesia (the smallest OPEC member nation). The main reason for the extra high prices was the drop in supply, although the instability in the region obviously attributes for the already high oil prices prior to the major hurricane season. Instability in the Mideast is a major concern that is something that has been a cause for rising oil prices since the 70's. The fact that the U elections are a major factor in the rising oil prices may cite that a changing of commander of chief may be beneficial to relations with OPEC nations and help lower ultra-high oil prices.
The article was found at http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&cid=580&e=3&u=/nm/20041006/bs_nm/markets_oil_dc
10/05/2004
Ethics 101 for CEO's
Ethics should play an important role on how a business is run. However, are ethics really practiced? Ethics can be a waste of time because ethical terms are easily shoved aside in the heat of competition. Look at ERON, how ethical where some of the upper management?
Ethics needs to be started from the top. If the CEO of the company is following their ethics codes then lower management and employee's will follow and if not started from the top, the rest of the company will follow. Ethics should be practice in all types of business but will this ethics program/seminars will actually work?
10/04/2004
high oil prices threaten global economy
This article entitled "High Oil Prices Threaten Global Economy" touches on four subjects: China's fixed rate currency, high oil prices, debt relief to Iraq, and debt relief to the world's poorest nations.
China's fixed rate currency is one of particular interest do to it's economic dilemna.
After World War 2 most nations had a fixed rate on their currency. The rate usually followed some other benchmark (the US dollar). These fixed rates for the most part don't exist today except for a few exceptions, China being one of them. China has maintained a fixed rate on the yuan, ironically enough to keep it selling at a discount. The way China keeps their currency fixed is by buying US surplus dollars with their yuan (supply & demand). When China runs out of US dollars it has to buy more with a discounted currency, devaluing the currency further and making a form of loan to the US government.
The reason China wants to keep the yuan cheap is to keep recieving a trade surplus that helps the Chinese economony. At the same time, an estimated 4 million jobs have been lost do to the lopsided exchange rate. The Us can purchase lots from the chinese with a dollar; however, the chinese can't buy much from the US do to the undervalued juan.
OPEC: How Far Is Too Far?
On a side note, if OPEC supplies 40% of the crude oil resources, where is the other 60%?