This blog contains posts and comments written by students in Dr. Tufte's economics classes at Southern Utah University.
2/14/2005
International production
China focused in on Germany for manufacturing high quality in order to acquiring German patents and engineering experience. It takes many years to know how to produce large equipment like the Germans do. China considers the higher worker wages of $2000 to $26000 per month, versus $400 to $500 well worth the money.
The production contract between China and Germany is a win, win situation. Not only will the German infrastructure and quality of life be improved, but as will China by increasing exports by 34 %. The past two years has been strengthening the relationship between the two countries when China moved to be the number 2 buyer of German machinery. That has been a big impact on the German economy.
This article is found at The Chinese are coming....To Germany
Does spending really matter?
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/economy/usgovernment.html
OPPRESSED AFRICAN COWS
Gordon Brown is the British Finance Minister. He went out on a limb Jan. 16th to boldly declare that unequal trade is being created by Gov’t subsidies and artificial trade barriers.
The idea in Brown’s speech is that we are holding poorer countries down while instituting our barriers and subsidies. By having a trade barrier, we’re making the competitive playing field uneven in our advantage. In effect, this will hurt us in the long rung. As we learn in economics, competitive companies benefit society in that prices are driven down and efficiency is driven up. At this point, barriers have done nothing but stunt this efficiency growth by keeping new foreign companies from entering into the market.
It's time to break the barriers and let the cows out!
Consumers vs. Customers
The Lego company soon discovered a group called the AFOL (Adult Fans of Lego) community. Before finding this community they thought that they were mostly selling to children, and only a few crazy adults who refused to let go of their childhood. They came to find out that about half their sales of Legos were to adults involved in this AFOL community. Now the Lego company has involved their consumers by adding a fan-created Lego kit to their product line-up. By doing this and getting their consumer's feedback they have turned their consumers into customers. By doing this Lego has eliminated a major risk in business. This risk is that the consumer might not want to buy your company's product, and then you have to cover all your costs of this product within. By doing what Lego did and turning your consumer into a customer, you can eliminate this risk almost completely. I think this is a brilliant concept that alot of businesses may overlook. This goes to prove that studying your consumer carefully and completely can contribute significantly to the success of your company
2/13/2005
Japan's on a Roll
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/economy/economies.html
Who would have thought that because oil prices are down we would purchase more high priced ticket items? Well we do. With the decline in oil prices Japan had an increase in sales of flat screen TV’s and digital cameras. Not only are we buying more of their goods, but they benefiting from our recent interest hike. When the Fed raised interest rates a quarter of a percent, it increased Japanese investment income.
I guess that it makes people feel richer when gas prices are down so they may purchase different items than they would if gas prices didn’t change.
Bush Aims to Boost US Tsunami Aid
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/4252171.stm
Does it make economic sense to rebuild countries after a major disaster? This may not be politically correct, but should we send 950 million dollars to aid tsunami relief? I am looking at this in a totally economic way. Will helping these countries help the U.S. economy? The U.S. trade deficit reached over 617.7 billion dollars last year and is projected to keep getting bigger. Couldn’t we use this money here at home? With the hubbub about social security, don’t you think the 950 million would help keep it a float for awhile? Like I said, I know this is in bad taste, but why do we always have to be the saviors of the world? Maybe it’s time to be selfish and get our own ducks in a row.
Cosmetic Surgery for Animals
The Budget
The President says that he will he provide the resources to his vision of the Iraqi war while the White House does not have a plan for funding. The cost of America’s programs is too much to handle with the current budget. President Bush plans to present the budget of $2.5 trillion to congress, but will try to avoid the costs that are associated with the war. The war with Iraq is not included into the budget and it requests $80 billion.
President Bush’s top domestic priority of social security is also requesting more funding from $1 trillion to $2 trillion over the next 10 years. Along with social security is the AMT which is a tax system which imposes higher tax to 3 million middle class families. This problem increases when inflation occurs and family income rises and 30 million could be paying the AMT by 2010. The plan to fix this problem will cost about $500 billion during a 10 year span.
President Bush has good plans for improvement, however the plans may turn out to do more harm than good to America. If the costs of Iraq, social security, AMT relief, and permanent tax cuts continue to rise, then the projected deficit will be closer to $400 billion than the planned $250 billion by year 2009. These big ticket items could add a resulting $3 trillion more to the national debt. http://www.businessweek.com/bwdaily/dnflash/feb2005/nf2005023_2151_db045.htm
DATE DITCHING
Virgin Mobile is now offering a “Call you back” service to all their customers (Only in Australia at this point). Here’s the idea…You’re on a date. The conversation stinks, McDonald’s really isn’t your favorite hotspot for a comfortable dining experience, and “Desperate House Wives” comes on in 15 minutes. What to do…What to do…You discreetly dial three numbers on your phone, hit the send button, and hang up. One minute later, “Ring-Ring”. You answer the phone and it’s a concerned roommate telling you to get home immediately, “Something’s happened.” Your concerned date promptly packs up the Happy Meals and takes you home.
What your date doesn’t know is that the person on the other end of the concerned phone call was actually a Virgin Mobile phone operator making up a story so that you can get out of your terrible date.
This is all part of a new service offered by Virgin Mobile. It’s funny to think of an actual demand for such a commodity but it’s real and Virgin Mobile has the supply. “A survey of 402 people by Virgin Mobile found that 53 percent arrange in advance to have a friend call them mid-date to check they are all right or if they need an excuse to get out. The results showed women were twice as likely as men to use the tactic.”
Click here for the story: Ubiquitous Markets (Valentine's Day Edition)
GAS PRICES FALL
The numbers given in the media don’t take into account inflation. Maybe they should cause a big stink about the rising cost of candy. Back in the day, you could get a handful of candy for a penny. Good luck getting that deal today.
As stated in the article, money is relative to the time period. “Sure, the $2.03 being charged at the pump today seems high. But in actual financial terms, it's a lot less onerous than the $1.25 a gallon motorists were paying in 1980 -- a whopping $2.80 when translated into 2004 dollars. (Adjusted the other way, today's $2.03 pump price is equal to 89 cents in 1980 dollars.)”
We're getting one heck of a deal! We're paying about 39% less than twenty years ago! Seems the whole gas price crisis is nothing but a media fallacy.
2/12/2005
Are there Class?
The article then goes on to discuss if there are institutional barriers in which make it harder for people to advance. Yes, anyone in America can get money for a loan which can make it so that person can advance. There is a push for people to become successful in America too which means, money for schooling and so on. Yet, there is a tendency for the people at the bottom level not to make it to the top. This brings up the fact of regulation and how it makes it harder for the bottom level to advance due to the fact that money is important when it comes to pay off the right people to get what one wants.
The question is are there class and if so are they affected by institutional barriers?
Economic Argumanet Against Punctuality
Chamberlain has a little analogy set up to help expalin this phenomenon. Thank goodness for what he calls "social costs", which are costs that will be incured if one shows up too late. An example of a social cost is the unwillingness of the other party to deal with you in the future. If not for these costs we would all keep second guessing the model. We would assume that the other person is assuming that we will be late, and that they will show up lateras a result. We would then think it was alright for us to show up even later. If this kept going on, nobody would ever show up.
This is a cool way to think about why people are late. But it could be dangerous if misused. Sometimes the opportunity cost of being late is overcome by the benefit of being on time, or early. Employing Chamberlain's theory when going to a job interview could prove to be disasterous. So while the theory may be interesting, it is not necessarily always correct.
Tsunami could Jump Start Sri Lankan Economy.
The Broken Window Fallacy states that a bad economist confines himself to what is seen and a good economist takes into consideration both what can be seen and what must be foreseen. If a window is broken the owner must pay to have it repaired. That money will go to the window glazer and stimulate the economy, that is seen. What is not seen is that had the window not been broken the owner would have used the money to buy something else, therefore enjoying two items not just one, the window. The money that he paid to the window glazer would have gone to some other merchant stimulating the economy that way. Basically, destruction is never profitable because it causes lost utility.
The blog says maybe we should destroy most of the United States to stimulate our economy. A far fetched idea by anyones standard, but similar to what the conclusion in the AFP article. The fact is obvious that even if the economy of Sri Lanka has picked up a little bit it is not a good thing that the majority of the nation was decimated. What is seen is that the economy seems to show signs of growth, what is not seen is the total cost to the nation due to the devestation. What the nation could have enjoyed from its money is now lost; it has to spend all of the money available to build what was previously there.
There is a saying, "all publicity is good publicity". While a company may have intitial signs of growth due to a scandal or bad publicity, destruction is never profitable. What is not seen in the future might be more devestating to the company than the immediate positive effects of any given occurance.
Rising Gas Prices
Not only are we limited in our oil production, but we dont have the capacity to refine oil, since there hasn't been any refineries built in the U.S. since 1976. He says that this is because nobody wants to have a refinery in thier town, who wants the smell and the big trucks on the highways.
I think we need to tell our legislators that we want more land opened up for exploration and some of the red tape cut that makes refineries so hard to build.
China
The Chinese are selling their products anywhere from 30 to 50 percent less than what Americans can produce the same product. This is causing many American businesses to go out of business. However, these business men say that consumers would be smart to buy the Chinese products over their own because of high quality and low price.
China's work force is thriving on low wages all across the board, while the workers are putting in 12 hour days and working weekends. China is also set up to produce economies of scale in its domestic market.
Another big boost for China is the young students who perform in areas needed for the economy to continue to grow stronger. Students are studying engineering, business, math, and science much more than any other country, especially America. the future is bright for the Chinese people and they are willing to do what it takes to be successful.
2/10/2005
Devil's Advocate
eXtreme hotels
Market_Based NFL Overtime Solutions
U.S. Trade Deficit Hits Record $600 Billion
Who Will Be Next????
Article:http://www.businessweek.com/technology/content/feb2005/tc2005029_1044_tc024.htm
Are we Spending Money Needlessly or Wisely?
I am sure that President Bush has good reasons for his new budget cuts, but what if we were to look at other major expenditures and see what would happen if we were to decrease them. There is an Internet site called www.costofwar.com that keeps a running total of what the government is spending thus far on the Iraq war; the number is in the hundred billions. The Internet site also compares the money spent in Iraq to other institutions we could have funded instead. Please don’t read into this wrong, I am for Iraq; however I am for America also. We are doing a world of good to the citizens of Iraq today, but are we doing it at the expense of citizens of America?
Equilibrium, I feel, is past the equal point. Are we spending money needlessly or wisely? Perhaps we may not know what we have done until years later when we can look back and see the whole picture.
GMC recalls-good or bad?
Would something like this not cause a decrease in the demand of those certain GM vehicles, especially when a few of them are very high dollar vehicles, for example, the Hummer H2, Avalanche, Silverado, and Suburban? This type of recall has to trigger some kind of actions in consumers as to whether they will buy GM vehicles in the future. I know this doesn't compare to the firestone tire recalls that devastated their company in the past, but I feel that it does have a significant impact on us as consumers as to what we think of buying for our next vehicle. If those people that buy the higher class SUV vehicles change their preferences on vehicles, that could have a pretty big impact on GM's sales and profits.
What do you think? Would you change your loyalty to GM because of instances like this, or would you still buy from them?
2/09/2005
Enron's Power Plant Rigging
Enron traders and others were captured discussing in e-mail messages and telephone conversations how they could profit from California's blackouts. Enron employees also suggested that their plans to exploit Western energy markets predated the meltdown of 2000 and 2001, which brought record electricity prices and emergency blackouts. Earlier this week, staff of the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission recommended that Enron return almost $1.7 billion in profit gained through improper energy trading dating back to 1997. Some critics say that this isn't a big enough penalty and that Enron should be charged with more. I personally agree with the critics, we need to make sure something like this doesn't happen again. Especially if it is something as important as electricity. I am curious to what other business students think, should the penalty have been harsher?
http://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-enron4feb04,0,2187912.story?coll=la-home-business
Will social security be there for me?
I would agree with President Bush regarding privatizing social security. Let us, our generation, have a say in our future. If it is not now it will be later.
Social Security Reform
Microsoft's purchase of anti-virus companies
2/08/2005
Cutting the Budget With Words
Article:http://money.cnn.com/2005/02/08/news/economy/snow.reut/index.htm
2/07/2005
Flashy Drives
Gas Prices are Rising Again
Super Bowl Advertising
Budweiser made an interesting commercial this year not about partying or crazy frogs, but they told consumers that if they purchased their product they would be supporting our troops over in Iraq. That was very interesting to me because they hit on a new target market.
2/03/2005
Is it America West or America Worst?
Article:http://money.cnn.com/2005/01/21/news/midcaps/america_west.reut/index.htm
1/31/2005
Opec's Greedy Strategy
Many countries are already rationing their investments in the area and planning for the future. Opec can clearly see that it walks a fine line to keeping everyone pleased. One Russian observer remarked, "We can assume that the oil prices will not go down in the near future because there are no indications of the coming seasonal drop in the demand for oil, in particular, due to a rather cold winter in the United States." We constantly hear complaints, or perhaps we complain ourselves, about the price for a gallon of gas. Well, things don't seem to be looking too bright in the future for this area. Opec has the strategy figured out: it tells traders one thing and sends false signals while surprising the market on the other hand. Will Opec go on with its greedy ways? Will the world market tolerate it? These are the questions that come to my mind.
A Valid Point on Outsourcing
Public School or Public Choice?
You may have noted that our gubernatorial candidates this past election season didn't mention too much about the specifics of the voucher program. Both candidates basically said that they supported "Utah's children," and yet, they had very different opinions regarding the voucher program.
Following is a link to a site that addresses some criticisms and concerns over the voucher program, www.schoolchoices.org/roo/myths.htm.
Of particular interest when discussing voucher programs is that most people complain that public schools are underfunded. However, the United States spends more on education than most, if not all, other countries in the world, and yet our quality of education continues to decline. Interest groups lobby for more and more money while our schools get worse and worse.
By no means am I saying that the voucher program is a cure all, or that it doesn't come with its own problems (after all, government still has a hand in it), but I do believe it's a great step in the right direction. It would help market forces to begin to work and thus, improve the quality of education our children receive.
Opec's greedy strategy
Many countries are already rationing their investments in the area and planning for the future. Opec can clearly see that it walks a fine line to keeping everyone pleased. One Russian observer remarked, "We can assume that the oil prices will not go down in the near future because there are no indications of the coming seasonal drop in the demand for oil, in particular, due to a rather cold winter in the United States." We constantly hear complaints, or perhaps we complain ourselves, about the price for a gallon of gas. Well, things don't seem to be looking too bright in the future for this area. Opec has the strategy figured out: it tells traders one thing and sends false signals while surprising the market on the other hand. Will Opec go on with its greedy ways? Will the world market tolerate it? These are the questions that come to my mind.
Existing-home sales hit all-time high in ’04
This article is a great example of how monetary policy can make a huge effect on the economy. The article states that home buyers continue to benefit from low mortgage rates; home sales have increased 9.4 percent last year. It also stated that sales prices for an existing homes increased 8.3 percent that marked the biggest one-year jump in home prices since 1980. Do you think that these low interest rates have created an inflated price of homes? Is it possible that when rates go back up the price of homes will fall? Would this economic factor be an important consideration to someone who is trying to choose between leasing vs. buying?
Does Corporate Social Responsibility Mean Superior Performance?
So what does this mean? If a company wants to be superior does it have to focus on being socially and environmentally responsible? Maybe superior financial performance is enhanced because of other factors such as good management, product differentiation, or low cost. Perhaps companies that do well financially just have more resources to invest into being socially responsible. Whatever the case, what is a company that wants to out-perform competitors supposed to do? Focus more on the environment, and use its resources in that manner? Maybe resources could be better distributed to society by other means. What do you think?
Dog behavior explains the Margin
This example of the dogs marginal meal applies directly to economics. The principle of the margin is how much value will be placed on the next unit of a product to be consumed. If a good is scarce, it becomes much more valuable than a good which is plentiful. This happens because the scarcity creates more value in the eyes of consumers. Consumers are willing to pay more simply because the good is rare. As goods become more scarce, their marginal value will increase. As in the Diamond verses Water paradox, the water is less valuable because it is so plentiful, eventhough it is more essential to survival.
The Effects of Daylight Saving Time
The tie to economics here is the demand for daylight. The more daylight, the more energy saved for something else. You might even say that energy is an inferior good to daylight. The more daylight, the less energy demanded. The demand for electricity for lighting our homes is directly linked to when we hit the hay and when we rise in the morning. By adding an extra hour of daylight the demand for energy to light our homes goes down and the desired effects of the government to conserve energy reached.
Student Aid
Procter & Gamble Buys Gillette.
In the article "Procter & Gamble buys Gillette" Procter & Gamble has made a huge move in wanting to buy The Gillette Company. The stock deal is valued at $54 million dollars. There are those people out there like the Wall Street analyst’s that think it is not a good idea or that it is overpriced. The reasons that they feel this way is because their will be some overlap in a few brands such as deodorants, teeth whiteners, and toothbrushes. Another reason is the advertising and being able to distinguish between the different products. However, I think that it is one smart move by Procter & Gamble. Because with all of the resources that the two companies already have they will be able to combine efforts and resources, and this will create great strength for them that will be hard to compete with.
Learn more about price elasticity
The site has articles about recent economic news as well as instructions and examples about some of the formulas that we have been using in class. The link I looked into was the one about price elasticity of demand which address is http://economics.about.com/cs/micfrohelp/a/priceelasticity.htm.
If you need a little extra help or would just like to learn a little bit more check this out and see if it helps you.
GOV'T PROSTITUTION
I am a strong believer that government aid should be worked for and not so freely handed out but…in Germany, prostitution is legal. The government can call up any woman after one year of being unemployed and force her to work at brothels or as a phone sex operator. “At one job center in the city of Gotha, a 23-year-old woman was told that she had to attend an interview as a "nude model", and should report back on the meeting. Employers in the sex industry can also advertise in job centers, a move that came into force this month. A job center that refuses to accept the advertisement can be sued.”
This is what happens in a socialistic style economy, one which other countries readily embrace and one which America mimmicks in so many ways. Too many handouts are given and now to make up the finacial difference, women are being forced into outrageous professions if they wish to survive. In a more capitalistic economy healthcare is better for some and worse for others; but at least in a capitalistic economy people have the freedom to choose their own professions.
Is the media telling us the truth?
So I went to another website x-rates.com to inquire about this sudden strengthening of the U.S. dollar. From January 28 to January 31 three out of five major currencies actually gained against the dollar including the European Euro, Canadian dollar, and Austrian dollar. Another currency the British pound stayed the same. According to x-rates.com only one out of five major currencies the Japanese yen gained favor to the U.S. dollar.
So my mind is left with questions like? Is the media out for consumers’ best interests? Do they feed us information that might be tampered with? And how much does our economy depend on the media?
You can't cheat on health
Mexico Tests Elasticity in Telecommunications.
Lessons from the playground
Being one of those that do not fit in the rich category I am grateful for the taxes on the rich. However, when I graduate and become one of the rich, I don't think that I will enjoy the tax as much as I do now.
I believe that if there were some benefit for the rich to give their money to the poorer class (such as myself) that there would be more of it. I also think that there are people who are comfortable just living off of the government and the rich citizens income tax. This creates a lazy, idle society. If we were to do away with the tax the rich heavily and give the poor freely method, and go with a flat tax rate method, it would create an incentive to be more productive, be involved with government procedures and expenditures, and overall create a more productive society
Plan B Beats Abortion
In order for young girls to safely use the pill some physicians say they must have control over its distribution. Wendy Wright, senior policy director for Concerned Women of America said, " the morning-after pill is a pedophile's best friend. Morning-after pill proponents treat women like sex machines." Although this may be true, easier access to the pill could reduce the number of children born into abusive situations. " The FDA's job, by law, is to judge the safety and efficacy of drugs, not the morality of people who use them."http://www.usatoday.com/news/opinion/2005-01-20-plan-b-our_x.htm
1/29/2005
When Wal-Mart Comes to Town
Women Beware: Gold Diggers Afoot!
1/28/2005
DayLight Savings Time
It seems to me that during the winter that it gets dark way to early, and that forces my son to come in from playing and he just bounces off the walls. I think it would be better to have an hour more daylight in the evening than in the morning.
Big Willie's New Gig
The economic benefit that this could have in the future is amazing in my opinion. Biodiesel opens up vast opportunities of new markets for farmers in soybean country. This is just the tip of the iceberg. Future research could even further refine biodiesels’ capabilities, and someday may even prove to be a much preferred alternative to gasoline. The crucial phase of this new fuel is in its infancy, and that is the task of bringing it to the attention of the public. Even better would be to get the support of large oil carries to refine and distribute biodiesel. Anyway you look at it Willie is on the road again, only this time he is burning biodiesel instead of gas.
Why be on time?
The more time you spend waiting on someone the more costly it is too you which is a negative externality. If someone shows up early and the other person is late then it’s even more costly for the early person. Arrival times can be thought of as economical cost factor and the price changes with the arrival time. People hate their time being wasted so the end solution is to show up late and it will not be their time and money being waited.
If one has a time deadline that has to be meet then a good idea would be tell everyone an earlier time therefore, when they are late they really will be one time. An example of this would be you having a dinner at 7:00 p.m. and telling everyone it’s at 6:30 p.m. This way when everyone shows up late, the dinner still will start on time.
http://the-idea-shop.com/
Is Our Food Storage's Hiking Up Food Prices?
Buying goods is a normal action people interact with day-by-day. The demand of a good becomes sensitive when people buy a lot of that particular good. So, if people only bought what they needed instead of buying more, would the elastic price of a popular item become less sensitive from lack of demand?
In my personal opinion, the buying power people have today will only become better. In other words just because people may buy a lot of one particular good, does not mean stores will increase the price to make a higher profit. When I say that our buying power will only become better, I mean that through technology we [the world] will find new ways to produce goods at a faster rate and less expensive for the consumer. The more we as consumers buy, the more the world will produce, and the more we will help the economy as a whole.
Growth in Saint George, UT
Is the U.S. the greatest threat to the world economy?
There are many reasons for the U.S. to be in this position, namely the huge tax deficit, which exceeded 600 billion dollars in 2004, the largest in history. Next, is the increasing Government debt that also reached record highs last year. Finally, we have the ever weakening U.S. dollar. This was the meat of the article. It stated the U.S. dollar is the primary reserve currency for most foreign countries. This is a concern because when the dollar is weak; all countries that rely on it will have less money to spend. The article goes on to state the treasury will ask for help from European and Japanese leaders to strengthen the dollar.
I agree with the European bankers when they remarked that the U.S. Government should help itself by encouraging savings and reducing the nation’s debt.
http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=4467938
1/27/2005
The Aging Population
the authors suggest that just because there is a declining number of workers, the world's economy can still grow. According to the acticle the average productivity in Japan, per worker, has increased 2% each year since 1980. If the trend continues productivity will rise 169% by 2050, raising Japan's GDP by 72%. I would tend to agree with the latter article, if countries can increase productivity then the world's economy will continue to grow steadily, even with fewer workers. For productivity to increase countries needs to provide education and encourage innovation.
Is the Dividend Tax Cut really worth it?
Why should the rich get tax breaks?
http://www.rushlimbaugh.com/home/menu/top_50__of_wage_earners_pay_96_09__of_income_taxes.guest.html
Baseball
http://economics.about.com/cs/sportseconomics/l/aa021903a.htm
1/24/2005
Is the Cost of Getting a Degree Killing You?
1/22/2005
Deflation
Is deflation knocking at the door? The Federal Reserve's now have major decisions to make about the deflation threat. Deflation means a general decline of prices. This has not happened since the Great Depression. Before deflation was just a topic of from history, but now it is becoming something to worry about.
Deflation is an issue concerning supply and demand. By having too much supply and too little demand is where lies the problem prices decline at a fast rate. Compaines will struggle trying to out price competition. In such a battle consumers will react at a much slower pace, waiting for the lowest price possible. Meanwhile, consumers are not stimulated to buy, which will cause a major disaster in the economy.
Despite the positive outlook for the economy, deflation poses great dangers of destroying corporate profits, hurting the stock makret, and pressuring companies to fire workers. Interest rates could be lowered overnight, making it harder for the Ederal Reserve's to stimulate the economy. Farmers and compnaies, more than likely, will default on loans which are fixed while the prices they receive fall.
This article found at www.washingtonpost.com concludes that deflation may require bigger deficits and lower interest rates. Just when America is already full of deficits, this could become a bigger problem.
Yellow Ribbons Everywhere
The real economics behind this “yellow ribbon magnet” affair is that someone came up with the idea that a yellow ribbon symbolizes our support for the troops and created a demand for it. This demand is making money for several companies. These five dollar “hot” items have made both consumers and business people alike happy. Isn’t that how our economy should be? It’s not a matter of a particular statement a person it trying to make. It’s about capitalizing off of something the public wants.
1/21/2005
The Stock Market Is Falling Again
Martinez quotes Rod Smyth, from Wachovia Securities the chief investment strategist saying, "We're in a correction right now from the rise we saw since mid-October. It's perfectly natural for markets to behave this way." But what I want to know is this really normal? Could the online traders have an effect on the way the market fluctuates with extreme ups and down? I think the ups and downs come from the ability of anyone to buy and sell so easily.
1/19/2005
Does Wall Street Care About Economics?
It is a common occurrence that when a publicly traded company announces plans to acquire another publicly traded company the “value” of the acquiring company decreases, while the value of the company to be acquired increases. For example, when Oracle Corporation announced its proposed acquisition/hostile takeover of PeopleSoft, the value of Oracle’s stock steadily declined for the nearly 18 month battle while PeopleSoft stock rose $5.1 billion! This seems to occur in spite of whether investors and analysts believe the acquisition will be profitable to the expanded company or not. It is understandable why the public would invest in the company to be acquired- they will usually be paid a premium for their shares. What I question is why the public would believe the acquiring company is so much more worthless because it is venturing to expand. It seems that Wall Street must believe that the economies of scale have reached a saturation point. Of course, there are inherent risks when a large purchase is made. The integration may not be smooth, but in the long run why would the public believe that expansion is devaluing?
1/18/2005
Is There a Light at the End of the Tunnel for Tsunami Hit Economies?
These countries economies are based on other factors such as agriculture, clothing factories, gas production, and many others economic factors besides fishing and tourism. In Aceh Indonesia, the tsunami apparently did not damage the region’s most lucrative properties of oil and gas production facilities. Most of Aceh’s population depends on agriculture for their livelihoods such as rice, peanuts, soybeans, maize, cassava, and potatoes. It is unclear how much agricultural land was flooded by the tsunami, but it wasn’t hit as hard as the fishing and tourism industry. Sri Lanka’s economy, which is still heavily agricultural, with tea, rubber, and coconuts, was not hit by the tsunami. Sri Lanka also has many garment factories that supply stores like Victoria’s Secret which employ, directly and indirectly, close to one million people. None of these companies have been affected by the tsunami. Also, many economists are predicting that there will be a surge in the construction industry and the production of raw materials such as cement and steel, because of the rebuilding that will take place.
Yes, the tsunami may be one of the world’s largest human disasters ever, but it may be just a small wave to the economies in the South Asian countries.
1/12/2005
Gov’t Grants Business Immortality
Not only does the practice of subsidizing and regulating some industries promote “keeping the dead alive” but it prevents competition which can and will hurt consumers in the long run. The article "The Price of Deregulation: Subsidies" explains what happens in the long run when subsidies and regulations are taken away. “Just between 1976 and 1990 the estimated savings from deregulation were $5 billion to $10 billion per year (in the airlines industry). Taking the low estimate, that’s $70 billion in savings over just 14 years—and that’s just lower ticket prices. Add in better routes, safety, customer service, innovation, and 14 more years of low prices to the present, and that total’s much larger.”
It’s time to start deregulating and let the ‘horse and buggy’ industries die away. Sure, it will hurt in the short run but it will benefit us all greatly in the long run.
12/09/2004
Insurance For the Season Pass Holder
Recently, National Union Fire Insurance Co. of Pittsburgh brought the idea of insuring against the risk of injury on ski resorts, and the implications created by injury. Unlike most common insurance packages, this new policy covers the loss of season pass capacity. Most season passes cost upward of a thousand dollars. Historically, resort patrons ski and snowboard on parts of the mountain before enough snow has accumulated to cover dangerous hazards. The dangerous conditions often lead to injury. Sometimes, the injury sustained early in winter causes total loss of season pass holders. To remedy the injured pass holder, National Union Fire Insurance has developed an insurance package that covers the loss of a season pass as well as other medical expenses as a result of injury. Incidently the service of indemnifiying someone for a lost season pass is big news, and the source of big time revenue. NUFI has found a niche that is willing to pay for coverage. NUFI got a jump start on a market with high demand. Luckily for NUFI there is a limited number of companies who offer any kind of risk coverage to skiers. The market is an oligopoly. NUFI really cornered the market by offering a product that no other company has. Profit taking is being had right now. Most likely these short term profits and higher premiums will quickly start seeing Cournot model type results as competition stiffens.
12/08/2004
Lisa's 12/1 Post
Anyway, I think Wal-Mart learned this Thanksgiving that their demand is more elastic than they thought it was. Someone probably ought to be fired for that blunder: isn't the whole point of Wal-Mart to demonstrate that everyone else's demand isn't as elastic as they thought?
12/06/2004
Monster Burger Is Big Media Talk
Goliath vs. Goliath
Alan Greenspan
Airlines Hit Again
This is not the only thing affecting airlines. There are also rising fuel prices. With jet fuel prices rising 74 percent within the last year, airlines are not sure what will happen to its revenue. Southwest Airlines however are doing really well and are taking the place of many of the airlines. What is happening to the airlines?
12/05/2004
You Can Buy Anything on EBAY
12/04/2004
"Blogging" was it worth it?
Is it a good thing for Dr. Tufte to have us do these bloggs? I have heard from numerous people that they don't really care what they get on the aplia assignments. If they do bad they will just do one or two more bloggs and that will make up for any points they missed on the assignment. I admit I would never have read so much about oil prices and how they will effect the economy. Or what the merger between Sears and K-mart will do to the retail industry.
Sex Patch Decision could Slow Research
P&G apparently hasn't learned enough from Merck's recent Vioxx woes, if a medicine that turns out to be unsafe goes to market every personal injury lawyer in the nation will soon be filing lawsuits in every state of the nation. Although the potential profits of a drug that can cure sexual dysfunction are great, the potential losses from punitive damage awards could easily be more devastating than the benefits.
P&G needs to be patient and get a safe drug to market and enjoy the fruits with less risk of law suits and health problems for customers.
The article was found at: http://www.cnn.com/2004/HEALTH/conditions/12/03/sexual.disfunction.ap/index.html
12/03/2004
Job growth not what predicted, is it really bad?
Even though job growth was not what was predicted, any new jobs created is a good thing.
12/02/2004
UPS to pay 100 million dollars for China Deal
United Parcel, as many other U.S. firms, has seen that as China's Iron Curtain becomes more transparent the need to be a first mover in the world's most populous nation is paramount. For UPS they may be little late as industry leader FedEx has had an established presence in China for some time, and UPS faces an uphill battle in that nation. Nevertheless UPS' move will no doubt prove a positive move for UPS shareholders.
This article was found at: http://money.cnn.com/2004/12/02/news/fortune500/ups_china.reut/index.htm
Entrepreneurship
More individuals are seeing businesses be successful and want to join in on those profits. However, with so many entrepreneurs desiring to enter the market, demand will decrease within their industry of choice and economic profits will also decrease to zero. But of course, the market will not support this, so some will pull out and profitability will rise again. However, the cycle continues. Others will join the market hoping to find profits and will decrease demand and economic profits. The only companies that are most likely to survive are those with the most capital and equity to sustain them in the long-run.
Cell Power
This is awesome for technology, but what about those of us who can’t afford to keep up all the time?
12/01/2004
The Federal Government Is Gambling With Our Lives
The actions of the Nuclear Regulatory Commission are nothing less than gambling with the lives of more than 11 million U.S. citizens.
11/30/2004
Holiday Sales
11/29/2004
Daylight Saving Time
I never really realized how much the time of day could affect our energy consumption, but the idea makes a lot of sense. The United States is not the only country that practices Daylight Saving Time either. The Daylight Saving Time concept is one that is practiced worldwide. Some countries begin and end Daylight Saving Time on different months than the United States, but the idea is basically the same. Some countries are even known to adjust their clocks up to two hours forwards or backwards. Sometimes the time changes can be a hassle, but the logic behind this concept is really quite interesting. I highly recommend you read the article that I have hyper-linked to this post.