Pages

4/15/2010

Gas prices and recessions, it takes two to tango.

I found this great post by James Hamilton of Econbrowser which discusses the correlation between gas prices and recessions. Mr. Hamilton provides data which shows that a sharp rise in gas prices precedes recessions. The article notes that the recent rise in oil prices probably isn't enough to cause a double dip on its own, however the recent recession was exacerbated by the steep rise in prices immediately before the crash. Hamilton concludes that the high oil prices are a drag on the economy but are not bad enough to cause another dip on there own.

1 comment:

  1. I wrote on another comment that I pretty much like every bit of research Hamilton has done except his stuff on oil prices.

    The last 2 years have made me doubt that, and I've been spending more time reading his stuff.

    ReplyDelete

Comments are moderated by Dr. Tufte. You won't see your comment appear on the blog until after I've approved it.